Ubuxoki Obukhulu

 

…ulwimi lwe-apocalyptic olujikeleze imozulu
wenze ububi obunzulu eluntwini.
Ikhokelele kwinkcitho eyilahleko nengasebenziyo ngendlela emangalisayo.
Iindleko zengqondo nazo ziye zaba nkulu.
Abantu abaninzi, ngakumbi abancinci,
hlalani ninoloyiko lokuba isiphelo sikufuphi;
kudla ngokukhokelela kudandatheko olonakalisayo
ngekamva.
Ukujonga iinyani kuya kutshabalalisa
loo maxhala azayo.
—USteve Forbes, Forbes kaJulayi 14, 2023

 

NYE Ngowona "magama ngoku" anomdla kakhulu awafika kum kwiminyaka esibhozo eyadlulayo yaba sisihloko sokucingisisa: Utshintsho lwemozulu kunye noKulahlekisa okuKhulu. Isihloko ngandlel’ ithile sichaza ngokwaso: ingxelo yokuba umntu obangela intlekele yokutshintsha kwemozulu iya kuba yinxalenye yenkohliso enkulu, oko iSt.^[1]I-2 Thess 2: 11 Into endingazange ndiyibone ngelo xesha, kodwa ngoku isiza phambili ngokukhawuleza, kukuba ingxelo ye-anthropogenic okanye "ukufudumala kwehlabathi" eyenziwe ngumntu iba sisixhobo esiphambili sokulawula indlela uluntu oluya "kuthenga nokuthengisa" ngokusekwe kwimpilo yabo. "Imibhalo yenyawo yekhabhoni." Kwaye oku kuya kudityaniswa “kwi-ID yedijithali” yomntu.^[2]cf. Uhlaziyo lokugqibela

Ingxaki kukuba ibali lokufudumala kwehlabathi libubuxoki ngokupheleleyo. Phofu ndiyayibiza Ubuxoki Obukhulu.

Ngena, umboniso omtsha: Incoko Yemozulu. Yinkcaso ecacileyo, ecacileyo, kunye nenzululwazi yento ebizwa ngokufanelekileyo ngokuba “yihlelo” lemozulu, ekhokelwa nguGreta Thunberg kunye neqela elifanayo labagqwesileyo emva kwe-pseudo-science ye-COVID-19. Ndikhuthaza ngokwenene ukuba uthathe imizuzu engama-55 ukubukela oku.

Ngaphantsi kwe-documentary, ndithumele uphando olutshanje endiluqokelele kwiminyaka edlulileyo ukuze eli nqaku libe luhlobo "lwendawo yokumisa enye" ​​ukuze ufumane iimpendulo ezicacileyo kunye nophando kwesi sisongelo esikhulayo kwinkululeko yabantu.

Khumbula ukuba, emva kwabo bonke ubuxoki busekelwe ‘kuyise wobuxoki,’ lowo uYesu wathi “wayesisibulala-mntu kwasekuqaleni.” Qonda oko, kwaye uya kusazi ukuba kutheni kubaluleke kangaka ukuchasa le ntsika yesibini “yokusetwa kwakhona okukhulu” — Ubuxoki Obukhulu “yokufudumala kwehlabathi” okwenziwe ngabantu.

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Ubuxoki Obukhulu

WENZA uvile oko kuye kwathethwa ngabaphengululi beendaba zikamabonwakude “ngokufudumala kwehlabathi.” Uyifundile i-YouTube kunye ne-Facebook propaganda izibhengezo. Ngoku, nantsi into ekusenokwenzeka ukuba awuzange uyive...

 

Hayi "isayensi ezinzileyo"

Lonke utyhala emva koko kubizwa ngokuba “ngamandla ohlaza”, njengeefama zomoya, libango lokuba iindlela zemveli zamandla, ezinje ngamalahle, ioyile okanye igesi, zifudumeza iplanethi “ngokukhutshwa kwekhabhoni”, ukutyhalela uluntu elunxwemeni. intlekele.

Noko ke, iqela elandayo leengcali zemozulu ehlabathini lithi amabango “emeko yokufudumala kwehlabathi ebangelwe ngumntu” asekelwe kubuvuvu benzululwazi. Ngaphezulu kwe-1600 yabaphandi, kuquka no-Ivar Giaever waseNorway owawongwa ngewonga leNobel noGqr. John Clauser, kutshanje. sayinwe isibhengezo echaza ukuba kukho 'akukho nxunguphalo lwemozulu.' UDavid Siegel, omnye wabatyikityi, wathi: "Kucacile ukuba i-CO2 ayinanto yakwenza nemozulu" - ngokungafaniyo nedatha ebonisa ukuba imisinga yolwandle ineempembelelo ezingaphezu koko kubizwa ngokuba yi “Greenhouse effect”. Ingcaphephe yemozulu yaseSweden uGqr. Fred Goldberg uyavuma ukuba ikharbon diokside ayingoyena nobangela uphambili wokufudumala kwehlabathi yaye oko utshintsho lwemozulu aluchatshazelwa sisenzo somntu kodwa ubukhulu becala ngumsebenzi welanga kunye nemisinga yolwandle. Ingcali yokwakheka komhlaba uGregory Wrightstone yenza 'ingxaki enzima kakhulu' ukuba yonke into esiyixelelwe malunga nokutshintsha kwemozulu ichasene nenyaniso.

Enyanisweni, i-Facebook kunye nomkhosi obizwa ngokuba yi-"fact-checkers" iya kuhlala iqinisekisa ibango elingenasiseko lokuba kukho ukuvumelana kwe-97-99% phakathi kwezazinzulu malunga nokutshintsha kwemozulu okubangelwa ngumntu. Kodwa a uphando olusanda kupapashwa izazinzulu zemozulu ezikumgangatho ophezulu zafumanisa ukuba ama-41 ekhulwini akakholelwa 'kutshintsho lwemozulu' oluyintlekele. Inyaniso…

Kuphela yi-0.3% yamaphepha enzululwazi athi abantu bangunobangela wokutshintsha kwemozulu. Kwaye xa kuphononongwa, kuphela i-18% yezazinzulu ezikholelwa ukuba isixa esikhulu - okanye sonke - sotshintsho lwemozulu olongezelelweyo lunokuthintelwa. -ISibhengezo, NgoJanuwari 23, 2023; expose-news.com

Kwanoluntu luye lwaluthandabuza uloyiko lwemozulu noqikelelo olubi oluye lwasilela ngokuphindaphindiweyo ukuzaliseka. "Uhlolisiso lwamva nje olwenziwe liqela elikwiYunivesithi yaseChicago lufumanise ukuba ukukholelwa ebantwini okubangela zonke okanye uninzi lwenguquko yemozulu yehlile eMelika yaya kutsho kuma-49 ekhulwini ukusuka kuma-60 ekhulwini arekhodiweyo. kwiminyaka emihlanu eyadlulayo. Ukuwa okufanayo kuye kwarekhodwa kwenye indawo, kunye nokutsha nje Uphando lwe-IPSOS egubungela isibini kwisithathu sabemi behlabathi ityhila ukuba phantse abantu abane kwabali-10 bakholelwa ukuba utshintsho lwemozulu ngokuyintloko lubangelwa ngunobangela wemvelo.”^[3]Epreli 27, 2023, elamav.com

 

Ukujonga iMozulu ngeeNyaniso...

UVijay Jayaraj, ihlakani lophando kwi Umanyano lweCO2, ithi “amaqondo obushushu asehlotyeni aseArctic awahlukanga kwaphela kumlinganiselo weminyaka engama-44 naloo nto Umkhenkce wolwandle lwasehlotyeni ungaphezu kwemiyinge yeminyaka elishumi” kwaye akhange yehle ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi.^[4]ukubona Apha kwaye Apha kwaye Apha Elinye iphepha libanga ukuba umkhenkce wolwandle lweArctic is iyanyamalala, kodwa kungekhona “kukufudumala kwehlabathi” kodwa “iindlela zomoya osingqongileyo.”^[5]Agasti 31, 2023, inzululwaziKweli nqaku, kuyinyani ukuba amanani e-Polar Bear ayanda ngokutsho IJografi yaseCanadac - ayincipha kakhulu, njengoko aboyiki bemozulu belumkisile.^[6]bona kwakho "Inkolelo yokuba i-Polar Bear Population iyancipha" Umphezulu we-ice sheet yaseGreenland uzuze phantse i-600 yeebhiliyoni zeetoni zekhephu elitsha ukususela ngoSeptemba 1, 2022. Inzuzo ibe ngaphezu kwe-avareji ye-1981-2010 ngexesha leminyaka emihlanu kwiminyaka esixhenxe edlulileyo.^[7]INzululwazi eNxulukileyo, twitter.com Iisampulu ezingundoqo zomkhenkce zibonisa ukuba akukhange kubekho bushushu bubalulekileyo kwenye yezona ndawo zinochuku kwimozulu kwiplanethi.^[8]dailyscetpic.com

Phezu kwayo nje imbalela yalo nyaka kwimimandla yoMntla Merika, amaza obushushu azenzeki rhoqo kunokuba bekulindelwe. Enyanisweni, a iphepha elitsha epapashwe yiGlobal Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) ebhalwe yisazi ngemozulu uWilliam Kininmonth, owayesakuba ngumcebisi kwiKomishoni yeMeteorological World for Climatology nowayesakuba yintloko yeZiko leSizwe leMozulu yeMozulu yeOstreliya, uphikisa ngelithi iilwandle “zezona zinto zibalulekileyo zokubhabha kunye nobushushu. ” yenkqubo yemozulu. Ukuba umntu ufuna ukulawula imozulu, kuya kufuneka ukulawula ulwandle, uxela. “Iinzame zokuphelisa ikhabhoni ngethemba lokuchaphazela ubushushu behlabathi ziya kuba lilize,” uyongezelela.

An Uphononongo lwaseTaliyane lwemozulu embi ithi 'akukho bungqina' 'bemozulu embi' kwiidatha zangoku, ngokutsho iphepha labo. Enyanisweni, kuye kwakho a ukuncipha komsebenzi wenkanyamba. Emva koko kukho Kleyima Imozulu ibulala abantu xa “bebembalwa abantu ababulawa ziintlekele ezibangelwa yimozulu,” wabhala watsho uBjørn Lomborg, owayesakuba ngumalathisi weZiko likarhulumente waseDenmark leEnvironmental Assessment Institute. “Njengoko inani labantu liye laphindeka kane, ukusweleka kwehle kangangama-20,” utshilo (bona le grafu). "Umngcipheko wokufa kwimozulu wehle ngama-99% ukusuka ngo-1920s." Ukuchasa uqikelelo lwesiphelo sika-Al Gore kunye noGreta Thunberg, idata ibonisa ukuba amaqondo olwandle baye hayi vuka ngenxa yokufudumala kwe-anthropogenic. Iphepha elitsha lophando libonisa ukuba kukho ezinye izinto ezinkulu eziphembelela ukunyuka komphakamo wolwandle.

“Amanzi olwandle ayenyuka ngesantya esikhawulezileyo phakathi kweminyaka engama-7,000 15,000 ne-XNUMX XNUMX eyadlulayo, yaye olo tshintsho kwisantya sokunyuka komgangatho wolwandle lwalungabangelwanga kumoya wecarbon-dioxide kuphela. Ingcaciso elunge ngakumbi yeyokuba ukunyuka komphakamo wolwandle kusabela kwixesha eliphakathi komkhenkce yaye ulungelelwaniso lwencam yomkhenkce olusemajukujukwini alukafikelelwa.” I ingcamango rhoqo ukuba amanqanaba olwandle aya kunyuka phakathi kwe-15 kunye ne-30 yeenyawo ukusuka kwi-2023 ukuya kwi-2100 "yi-hype ecacileyo yezopolitiko kwaye ayimeli isayensi, njengoko ikhuthazwa ngumlamli wemozulu.s. -UDavid Legates, i-climatologist kunye noprofesa ophumayo kwiYunivesithi yaseDelaware; Umqondiso wemihla ngemihla, Matshi 13, 2024

Ingxelo ebhalwe ngusosayensi obalaseleyo we-reef, uPeter Ridd, esebenzisa idatha esemthethweni evela kwihlabathi lonke, yafumanisa ukuba akukho nciphiso yezibalo kwiingqaqa zekorale zehlabathi ukususela ekubeni iirekhodi ezithembekileyo zaqala kwiminyaka engamashumi amabini eyadlulayo. Enyanisweni, kwiGreat Barrier Reef, eyona nkqubo inkulu yehlabathi yolwalwa, kuye kwarekhodwa ukhuselo lwekorali olophula irekhodi.^[9]Februwari 16, 2023, www.kwayitshinab.ir

Uluntu luhlala luxelelwa ukuba ulwalwa lolwandle lonakaliswa ngendlela engenakulungiseka ngenxa yokufudumala kwehlabathi, kodwa iziganeko ezibangela ubushushu, apho kukho ukutshatyalaliswa okukhulu, yimpendulo yendalo yeekorale kutshintsho lwendalo esingqongileyo. Ziyindlela yokuphila eguquguqukayo ngokungaqhelekanga, kwaye izehlo zokuthambisa zisoloko zilandelwa kukuchacha ngokukhawuleza. —UPeter Ridd, iFiziksi, umbhali we “ICoral kwiLizwe Elifudumezayo-Iizizathu Zokuba Nethemba”; www.kwayitshinab.ir

Mhlawumbi eyona nto imangalisayo ngumsebenzi wamva nje wezazinzulu ezintandathu eziphezulu zemozulu, papashwa ngo Nature abaqinisekisa into ebithethwa ziingcali zemozulu zaseYurophu iminyaka: sisenokuba singena kwixesha ukupholisa. I-hemisphere yaseMntla inokungena kwi-a isigaba sobushushu-ukupholisa kude kube ngoo-2050 ngokuhla ukuya ku-0.3°C (~1.14°F). Ukongezwa, umhlaba wonke nawo uya kupholiswa.^[10]cf. "Izazinzulu zemozulu ephezulu ziqikelela amashumi eminyaka okuphola kwehlabathi kufundo olungahoywayo ngamajelo eendaba", elamav.com 

 

Ukucaphuka okukhulu

Enyanisweni, kukho ukwaphulwa kwenzululwazi yokuziphatha. Uphononongo olutsha kwi-Heartland Institute lubonisa ukuba I-96% yedatha yemozulu esetyenziselwa ukuthethelela olu xinzelelo lwemozulu ineziphene. (Qaphela: kwakunjalo imodeli yekhompyuter engalunganga ekwaqhuba ubhubhane we-COVID-19). UGqr Judith Curry naye uyavuma ukuba ibali liqhutywa iimodeli zekhompyuter ezingalunganga kwaye eyona njongo ifanele ibe kukunciphisa ukungcoliseka komoya namanzi, hayi ikharbon diokside. U-Tom Harris, uMlawuli oLawulayo we-International Climate Science Coalition, wayeyi-alarmist yemozulu onayo ngoku wasijikisa isikhundla sakhe ngenxa yeziphene “iimodeli ezingasebenziyo,” kwaye ngoku ubiza yonke ibali a ubuxoki obenziwe ngamasibomu. Enyanisweni, olunye uhlolisiso luyavuma ukuba I-12 yeemodeli eziphambili zeyunivesithi kunye norhulumente eziye zasetyenziselwa ukuqikelela ukufudumala kwemozulu ziphosakele. Khumbula"iclimategate” xa izazinzulu zabhaqwa zitshintsha ngabom iinkcukacha-manani yaye zingayihoyi inkcazelo yesatellite ebonisa ukuba akukho kufudumala?

Ngokwenene, iPhaneli yoRhulumente weZizwe Ezimanyeneyo ngoTshintsho lweMozulu (IPCC) iye yabanjwa izihlandlo ezininzi idatha ephazamisayo ukuze ndi bangxamele phambili kwi-ajenda yabo, kakhulu, Paris Climate Agreement, eneneni ayinanto yakwenza nokusingqongileyo. Endaweni yoko, imalunga nokwabiwa ngokutsha kobutyebi behlabathi ngokohlwaya “iirhafu zekhabhoni”:

Kodwa umntu kufuneka atsho ngokucacileyo ukuba sisasaza ngokutsha ubutyebi behlabathi ngomgaqo-nkqubo wemozulu. Ngokucacileyo, abanini bamalahle kunye neoli abayi kuba nomdla kule nto. Umntu kufuneka azikhulule kwinkohliso yokuba umgaqo-nkqubo wemozulu wamazwe ngamazwe ngumgaqo-nkqubo wokusingqongileyo. Oku akusenanto yakwenza nomgaqo-nkqubo wokusingqongileyo kwakhona... -Ottmar uEdenhofer, IPCC, yemihla ngemihla.comNgoNovemba 19th, 2011

Nokuba injani na inzululwazi yobushushu behlabathi yinyani yonke… utshintsho lwemozulu [lubonelela] elona thuba likhulu lokuzisa ubulungisa nokulingana emhlabeni. —Owayesakuba nguMphathiswa wezeNdalo waseKhanada, uChristine Stewart; Icatshulwe nguTerence Corcoran, “Global Warming: The Real Agenda,” Post Financial, NgoDisemba 26, 1998; isuka e ICalgary Herald, NgoDisemba, 14, 1998

Esi sisihlandlo sokuqala kwimbali yoluntu ukuba sizibekele umsebenzi wokuba ngabom, kwixesha elibekiweyo, ukutshintsha imodeli yophuhliso loqoqosho esele ilawula iminyaka eli-150 ubuncinci, ukusukela kwinguqu kwezoshishino… inkqubo, ngenxa yobunzulu benguquko. -UChristine Figueres, owayenguNobhala weSigqeba seNgqungquthela ye-UN malunga noTshintsho lweMozulu, ngoNovemba 2, 2015; europa.eu

Kwaye umphathiswa wendalo yaseCanada kunye nokutshintsha kwemozulu, uSteven Guilbeault, wavuma ukuba amakhaya aseCanada aya kuhlawula ngakumbi ngenxa yeerhafu zekhabhoni, nangemva kwezaphulelo.

Ukuba wenza umyinge, ewe, yinyaniso, kuya kubiza imali eninzi kubantu, kodwa abantu abahlawulayo ngabona bazizityebi phakathi kwethu, yindlela kanye eyilwe ngayo inkqubo. -Udliwano-ndlebe neendaba zeCTV, ngoAprili 2, 2023, yeengcity.com

I-Edenholfer ichanekile — oku akuvakali njengomgaqo-nkqubo wokusingqongileyo. Ke uluqinisekisa njani uluntu ukuba kukho ingxaki yemozulu? Ewe… ungaxoka ngokulula.

I-IPCC yabanjwa ibaxa idatha kwi Umkhenkce weHimalayan uyanyibilika; abazange bahoye ukuba ngokwenene kukhonqumama' kukufudumala kwehlabathi: izazinzulu zemozulu eziphezulu zayalelwa ukuba 'gquma' into yokuba ubushushu boMhlaba bebunganyuki kwiminyaka eyi-15 edlulileyo. IYunivesithi yaseAlabama eHuntsville, ithathwa njengeyona ithembekileyo ekuqokeleleni idatha yobushushu behlabathi ephuhliswe kwiisathelayithi, ibonise ukuba akukhange kubekho tu ukufudumala kwehlabathi kule minyaka isixhenxe idlulileyo ukusukela ngoJanuwari 2022. Izazinzulu zemozulu apho, uJohn Christy noRichard McNider, fu maneka ukuba ngokususa iziphumo zemozulu zogqabhuko-dubulo lwentaba-mlilo kwangethuba kwirekhodi yobushushu besathelayithi, apho kubonisiwe akukho tshintsho kwisantya sokufudumala ukusukela kwiminyaka yoo-1990.

I-National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) yayi kwakhona ubhaqwe ubaxa 'ukufudumala kwehlabathi' ngu ukudlala ngedatha yobushushu ekrwada. Uninzi lwezinye iingcali zemozulu ngokufanayo ziye zayichitha ingcamango yokufudumala kwehlabathi okwenziwe ngumntu. Apha lo gama amanqaku amaninzi jonga ubuqhophololo bezenzululwazi bubonke. Akumangalisi ke ngoko ukuba kubekho ukuqhutywa Iminyaka engama-50 yoqikelelo lwe-eco-apocalyptic olungaphumelelanga. Kodwa njengoko watshoyo uKumkani uCharles, oku kumalunga "nefestile yethuba" lokutshintsha ulungelelwaniso lwezoqoqosho^[11]Oktobha 23, 2021, zenyeng.ru - ngokucacileyo hayi malunga nesayensi ethembekileyo.

UGqr Judith Curry ngaxa lithile wayeyintandane yesihlwele "sokufudumala kwehlabathi" - de waqonda ukuba idatha yayingalunganga kwaye inobuqhophololo. Ingxelo yokutshintsha kwemozulu, uthi, akukho nto imfutshane "kwimvumelwano eyenziweyo."^[12]cf. Isazi ngemozulu esaziwayo siDiza 'iMvume eyenziweyo' UGqr Curry ubonisa ukuba iimeko zedoomsday ukuba ukukhutshwa okugqithisileyo kuhambelana noqikelelo olothusayo lwe-4-5.^oC yokufudumala ngo-2100, ayisamkelwa:

Ezi meko zinzima ziye zayekiswa yiNkomfa ye-UN yamaQela kwiSivumelwano seMozulu se-UN. Noko ke, iNgxelo entsha Yokwenziwa Kwezinto Ezikhutshwayo [yeIPCC] iyaqhubeka igxininisa ezi meko ziqatha, ngoxa le ngxelo ibalulekileyo ifunyaniswayo kumbhalo osemazantsi othi: “Kunqabile ukuba kubekho ukukhutshwa kwezinto ezikhutshwayo kodwa akunakuthintelwa”… Ngokucacileyo, imozulu “ingxaki ” akusafani nakuqala… IiNgxelo ze-IPCC ziye zaba “zincamathelayo” kwinzululwazi yemozulu – zithetha ngezopolitiko ngelixa zisebenzisa igama lenzululwazi ngokubanzi ukunika igunya kwimvumelwano eyenziwe ngokwezopolitiko. - "Uloyiko lwemozulu lwe-UN luninzi lwezopolitiko kunesayensi", ngoMatshi 28, 2023, judithcurry.com

 

IGlobal Greening

Xa wayegxeka “ingxelo yemozulu”, ingcali yefiziksi yenyukliya uGqr. Wallace Manheimer uyaliphikisa ibango elibubuxoki lokuba ngandlel’ ithile ikharbon diokside ingcolisa umoya. Ngokuchasene noko, i-CO2 ngowona mthombo wekhabhoni wobomi eMhlabeni, iyimfuneko kubomi bezityalo. Uphononongo lubonisa ukuba kwandisa iivithamini kunye nemveliso yeeminerali kwizityalo kunye neempawu zazo zonyango. Okukhona icarbon dioxide isanda, kokukhona isijikelezi-langa siluhlaza, kokukhona kukho ukutya okuninzi.

Ukugxininiswa kwintlekele yemozulu yobuxoki iba yintlekele kwimpucuko yanamhlanje, exhomekeke kumandla athembekileyo, ezoqoqosho, kunye nokusingqongileyo. Ii-windmills, iipaneli zelanga kunye neebhetri ezigcinayo azinazo ezi mpawu. Obu buvuvu butyhalwa ligumbi elinamandla elinamandla athe uBjorn Lomborg alibize ngokuba yindawo yemozulu, equka izazinzulu ezithile, uninzi lwamajelo eendaba, oosomashishini, kunye nabawisi-mthetho. Ikwazile ngandlela thile ukukholisa abaninzi ukuba i-CO2 esemoyeni, igesi eyimfuneko kubomi basemhlabeni, leyo esiyikhuphayo ngawo wonke umoya, yityhefu yokusingqongileyo. Iithiyori ezininzi zenzululwazi kunye nemilinganiselo zibonisa ukuba akukho ngxaki yemozulu. Imitha yokunyanzelisa izibalo ngabo bobabini abathandabuzayo kunye namakholwa abonisa ukuba ukunyanzeliswa kwemitha ye-carbon dioxide malunga ne-0.3% yesiganeko sokusasazeka kwemitha, ngaphantsi kakhulu kunezinye iziphumo kwimozulu. Ngexesha lempucuko yabantu, iqondo lobushushu liye lanyuka phakathi kwamaxesha ambalwa ashushu kunye nabandayo, kunye namaxesha amaninzi ashushu ashushu kunanamhlanje. Ngamaxesha ejoloji, yona kunye nenqanaba lekhabhon dayoksayidi bezikuyo yonke indawo kungekho lunxulumano phakathi kwazo. -Ijenali yoPhuhliso oluZinzileyo, Februwari 2015

Uphononongo olujongwe ntanga kutshanje kwilindixesha iGlobal Ecology and Conservation yabethelela ukuba “ukutyalwa kohlaza ehlabathini yinyaniso engenakuphikiswa” yaye kuye kwanda ngokukhawuleza kule minyaka ingama-20 idluleyo ngaphezu kwama-55% omhlaba. Kwiphepha leGlobal Warming Policy Foundation, uGqr. Indur Goklany, owayekhe wamela iUnited States kwi-Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), uthi ukunyuka kwekharbon diokside kwiatmosfera yoMhlaba “ngoku kuluncedo kakhulu. kuluntu nakwibhayosphere ngokubanzi”.

Ikharbon diokside ichumisa izityalo, kwaye ukukhutshwa kwamafutha efosili sele kunefuthe elikhulu kwizityalo, ukwandisa izivuno ubuncinane nge-10-15 yeepesenti. —UGqr Indur Goklany, ngo-Oktobha 12, 2015, iphepha: “ICarbon Dioxide: iindaba ezilungileyo"

Isazi ngefiziksi uFreeman Dyson uthi:

…kukho iziphumo ezinkulu ezingezizo imozulu zekharbon dayokhsayidi ezithandeka kakhulu ezingathathelwa ngqalelo. Kum lo ngowona mba uphambili–uMhlaba ukhula ngokuluhlaza ngakumbi..ukhula ngokukhula kwezivuno zezolimo, wandisa amahlathi, wandisa zonke iintlobo zokukhula… Oko kubaluleke ngakumbi kwaye kuqiniseke ngakumbi kuneempembelelo kwimozulu. -tomnelson.blogspot.com, UEpreli 6, 2016

Uphando indalo ifumanise ukuba “utyani obukhula kwi-Afrika ekwi-Afrika ekwi-sub-Sahara bunyuke nge-8% kwisithuba seminyaka engamashumi amathathu edlulileyo…^[13]Juni 11, 2018, nature.com INational Oceanic and Atmospheric Association inike ingxelo ngophononongo ngo-2018 ebonisa "Ukukhula kwezityalo kwihlabathi jikelele kuhamba ecaleni kwekharbon diokside."^[14]hayi.gov Imephu yeNASA ibonisa ukuba “ihlabathi liluhlaza kunokuba lalinjalo ekuqaleni kweminyaka yee-1980.”^[15]ngodongwe.nasa.gov IYunivesithi yaseBoston isifundo kwafunyanwa “uhlaza oluphawulekayo lwento ephakathi kwama-25 ekhulwini nama-50 ekhulwini omhlaba onezityalo osemhlabeni.”^[16]Epreli 25, 2016, BBC Ngaphezu koko, uhlaza olunjalo luwupholisa ngokwenene umhlaba.^[17]nasa.gov Kukho izifundo ezininzi kulo mthambo ofanayo, kodwa ufumana umfanekiso.

Eneneni, iAntarctica yayikhe yagqunywa yimithi yesundu. Ubhala athi: “Nangona izazinzulu zicinga ukuba umlinganiselo wekharbon diokside ekuqaleni kwexesha le-Eocene wawuphakame kangangeenxalenye ezili-55 kwisigidi ngasinye, nto leyo ebonisa ixabiso lanamhlanje elimalunga neenxalenye ezingama-1000 kwisigidi ngasinye. Magazine Smithsonian, “abakhange bayiqonde into ebangele olu qhushululu.” A isifundo ngo-2023 ibonisa ukuba i-Antarctica ifumene i-661 yeebhiliyoni zeetoni zomkhenkce ngo-2009-2019 vs. uqikelelo lwelahleko yeetoni ezibhiliyoni ezingama-20,000^[18]notrickszone.com kwaye ungqindilili ngokuphindwe ka-8 kuneminyaka engama-8000 edlulileyo.^[19]tc.copernicus.org Icwecwe lomkhenkce elikwiNtshona ye-Antarctic lifumana ukunyibilika, kodwa amaphononongo amathathu adiza ukuba sisenzo sentaba-mlilo engaphantsi kwamanzi, hayi ukunyibilika komphezulu okubangela ukwehla.^[20]plateclimatology.com

 

Iinkcukacha-manani eziyintlekele

Kwaye ke kukho iZiko loPhando kwi-Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED). Isandul' ukukhutshwa ngo-2022 "Iintlekele ngamaNani" umbiko evela kwi-CRED ayinyanisekanga ngakumbi kunengxelo yayo yowama-2021, ubanga unjingalwazi odla umhlala phantsi wefiziksi. UGqr Ralph Alexander. Awona mazwi amabi kuthiwa abandakanya inani labantu ababulawa ziintlekele ezinxulumene nemozulu. I-CRED isuse iziganeko ze-50 ezinkulu zentlekele kwidatha ukuze ibonise indlela ephosakeleyo yokuba ukufa okunxulumene nemozulu kuyanda (Jonga uMzobo B. ngezantsi). Nangona kunjalo, ngayo yonke idatha engaguqukiyo, ibonisa ukuhla kwe-98% kwinkulungwane edlulileyo (jonga uMfanekiso A.), njengoko uBjørn Lomborg naye enike ingxelo ngasentla. Le ngxelo ithi: “Ukutolika amanani ngendlela ephosakeleyo kunokuba yingozi ukuba uxhasa intetho enciphisa ukubaluleka kokutshintsha kwemozulu. Ngoko ke, kungcono ukuxoka ukuxhasa ibali kunokuba uthethe inyaniso engathandekiyo?

Ubuqhophololo obunjalo abunyanisekanga kwaye buneziphene ngokwezibalo… ekuphela kwendlela yokubonisa naluphi na uhlobo ngokunyaniseka kukubandakanya yonke idatha. —UGqr. URalph Alexander, ngo-Epreli 19 2023, I-Daily Sceptic

 

Ukufowunela umhlakulo...

Siphila kumaxesha angaqhelekanga apho abanye bakholelwa ukuba ukuziphatha ngobuqhetseba nokuxoka eluntwini ngandlel’ ithile kuyakhuseleka ukuba akunasimilo. Bambalwa abaziyo ukuba ngo-2013 e-United States, apho kwazalwa khona ulwazi oluphangaleleyo lwemozulu, ngoko owayenguMongameli uBarack Obama watyikitya umthetho. USmith-Mundt uMthetho woModernization (HR 5736). Kwenza ukuba kube semthethweni ukuba amajelo eendaba aveliswe ngurhulumente—anjengalawo asasazwa phesheya yiVoice of America, iRadio Free Europe, namanye amaziko kulo lonke ixesha leMfazwe Yomlomo—ukuba zijoliswe kubemi base-US ngokwabo. Ngoku kusemthethweni ngokugqibeleleyo ukusasaza (okt. xoka ku) uluntu lwaseMelika.^[21]cf. libertarianinstitute.org

Kodwa ngethamsanqa, ayinguye wonke umntu ojongene nokusingqongileyo odlala kunye nokusasazwa kwemozulu. Uwongwe ngembasa yeNobel, uGqr. John Clauser, akanamakhwiniba kwingxelo yemozulu:

Ingxelo edumileyo emalunga nokutshintsha kwemozulu ibonisa urhwaphilizo oluyingozi lwenzululwazi olubeka emngciphekweni uqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nentlalo-ntle yeebhiliyoni zabantu. Inzululwazi yemozulu egwenxa iye yatshintsha yaba yinzululwazi yokothuka kwentatheli… Kukho, nangona kunjalo, ingxaki yokwenene yokubonelela ngomgangatho ofanelekileyo wokuphila kuluntu oluninzi lwehlabathi kunye nengxaki yamandla eyayanyaniswa nayo. Le yokugqibela igqithiswa ngokungeyomfuneko yinto, ngokombono wam, isayensi yemozulu engalunganga. —Meyi 5, 2023; Umanyano lweC02

UGqr. Steven Koonin, Ph.D. sesinye sezazinzulu zaseMelika ezibalaseleyo, ezinamava angamashumi eminyaka, kuquka nesikhundla sokuba ngunobhala ongaphantsi kwezenzululwazi kwiSebe lezaMandla kulawulo luka-Obama. Wazibona “egungqiswa” kukusetyenziswa kakubi kwenzululwazi yemozulu emva kokuhlolisisa ngenyameko ibali “lokufudumala kwehlabathi”.

Ndandicinga ukuba abantu bafudumeza umhlaba, ikharbon diokside ifumba emoyeni ibangela zonke iintlobo zeengxaki—ukunyibilika komkhenkce, ukufudumala kolwandle, njalo njalo. Kwaye idatha ayikuxhasi kakhulu oko. Kwaye uqikelelo lwento eyayiza kwenzeka kwixesha elizayo yayixhomekeke kwiimodeli, masithi, zazixengaxenga kakhulu… Uqikelelo lwemozulu yexesha elizayo kunye neziganeko zemozulu zixhomekeke kwiimodeli ezibonisa ukuba aziyilungelanga injongo. —UGqr. USteven Koonin, Ph.D., "Kushushu okanye akunjalo: USteven Koonin Imibuzo yeNzululwazi yeMozulu kunye neMethodology", iHoover Institute, ngo-Agasti 21, 2023; Youtube.com

Abanye banokucinga ukuba ngumchasi omangalisayo wale ngxelo yemozulu nguGqr. Patrick Moore, owayesakuba lilungu nomseki weqela lemekobume iGreenpeace.

Asinabo nabuphi na ubungqina besayensi bokuba singunobangela wokufudumala kwehlabathi okwenzekileyo kwiminyaka engama-200 edlulileyo…I-alarmism isiqhubela phambili ngeendlela ezothusayo zokwamkela imigaqo-nkqubo yamandla eza kudala intlupheko enkulu yamandla phakathi kwamazwe. abantu abahluphekayo. Ayilunganga ebantwini kwaye ayilunganga kwimekobume… Kwilizwe elifudumeleyo sinokuvelisa ukutya okuninzi. —UGqr. UPatrick Moore, iFox Business News kunye noStewart Varney, ngoJanuwari 2011; Forbes.com

UGqr Moore wayishiya iGreenpeace xa yayisiba nkulu okanye, ngamazwi akhe, 'uqunjelwe' (kakhulu njengemozulu "isayensi"). Utshintsho lwemozulu, uthi, lusekwe ku 'ibali lobuxoki. ' 

Utshintsho lwemozulu lube namandla kwezopolitiko ngenxa yezizathu ezininzi. Okokuqala, yinto yonke; sixelelwa ukuba yonke into eMhlabeni isongelwa. Okwesibini, ibongoza abona bantu babini banamandla okukhuthaza: uloyiko kunye netyala… Okwesithathu, kukho ukuhlangana okunamandla komdla phakathi kwabona bantu baphambili abaxhasa imeko yemozulu. Izendalo zisasaza uloyiko kwaye zonyusa iminikelo; abezopolitiko babonakala ngathi basindisa uMhlaba kwintshabalalo; Imithombo yeendaba inomhla wentsimi onemvakalelo kunye nembambano; amaziko ezenzululwazi anyusa amawaka ezigidi kwizibonelelo, enza amasebe amatsha ngokupheleleyo, kwaye axhoma isoyikiso sokondliwa kweziganeko ezoyikisayo; Ishishini lifuna ukubonakala liluhlaza, kwaye lifumane inkxaso-mali enkulu yoluntu kwiiprojekthi ezinokuthi zibe ngabaphulukene noqoqosho, ezinje ngeefama zomoya kunye noluhlu lwelanga. Okwesine, i-Left ibona utshintsho lwemozulu njengeyona ndlela ifanelekileyo yokuhambisa kwakhona ubutyebi kumazwe ahambisanayo ukuya kumazwe asaphuhlayo nakwi-UN bureaucracy. —UGqr. UPatrick Moore, Phd, umseki weGreenpeace; "Kutheni ndingumntu othandabuzayo ngoTshintsho lweMozulu", ngoMatshi 20, 2015, Heartland Institute

Ukuqhuba umkhuhlane ukuze kupheliswe iindlela zemveli zamandla kunye nezithuthi ezixhomekeke kwifosili, izixhobo zombane, njl. Kodwa njengoko uSteve Milloy, umseki we ijunkscience.com ichazwe kwiNkomfa yeZizwe ngezizwe yeshumi elinesihlanu malunga noTshintsho lweMozulu (ICCC), "i-zero enetha" ayinakwenzeka (ividiyo engezantsi). Ngapha koko, uGqr. Moore kutshanje uye walumkisa “ukuba ngenene sifikelela ku-zero, ubuncinci i-50% yabemi iya kufa yindlala nezifo” ngakumbi ngoorhulumente abazama ukuphelisa isichumiso senitrogen (kunye nokuba ukugaya iinkomo ezivelisa ifart, ndingongeza).^[22]cf. Agasti 17, 2023, Iindaba zeBiz

 

2023 - Ubungqina "bokufudumala kwehlabathi"?

Ngo-2018, uGreta Thunberg wathumela enye ingqikelelo embi:

Kwiminyaka emihlanu kamva, uMhleli oyiNtloko we Forbes Ukhalimele uloyiko lukaThunberg:

…ulwimi lwe-apocalyptic olujikeleze imozulu lwenza ububi obunzulu eluntwini. Ikhokelele kwinkcitho eyilahleko nengasebenziyo ngendlela emangalisayo. Iindleko zengqondo nazo ziye zaba nkulu. Abantu abaninzi, ingakumbi abaselula, bahlala benoloyiko lokuba isiphelo sikufuphi, nto leyo edla ngokukhokelela kudandatheko olonakalisayo ngekamva. Ukujonga izibakala kuya kuwaphelisa loo maxhala e-apocalyptic. -USteve Forbes, Forbes, Julayi 14, 2023

Kodwa khawume, ingaba amaza obushushu kunye nemililo yasendle ka-2023 ayibobungqina bokuba iThunberg yimfihlakalo yemozulu, iguru lobushushu behlabathi?

Ngokwenyani, awunakuze ujonge kwiminyhadala yemozulu enye kodwa kufuneka uqwalasele iintsingiselo. Kodwa loo nto ayikhange imise amajelo eendaba aphambili kunye neZizwe eziManyeneyo kwiphulo lokutshabalalisa imozulu.

Umzekelo, amaza obushushu ebengaxhaphakanga kwaye ebukhali kakhulu kunangee-1930s.^[23]cf. Climateataglance.com Kodwa abanye bathi imililo yasendle enkulu ka-2023 bubungqina obaneleyo bokuba ukufudumala kwehlabathi kwe-anthropogenic kuyinyani. Nangona kunjalo, imililo ngaphakathi Grisi, Quebec, E Alberta, Nova Scotia, Yellowknife, UKelowna, Spokane, Louisiana, ElamaTaliyane, Iminenga entsha yaseMzantsi, Ka'ū kwaye eMaui, ziye zadityaniswa nezenzo ezininzi zokutshisa kunye/okanye eziqhelekileyo umbane ugwayimbo kunye nokungakwazi ukusebenza.

Kwaye ke kukho ibango lokuba uJulayi yayiyeyona nyanga ishushu kakhulu. Kodwa idatha yobushushu kaJulayi ye-NOAA iveze enye avareji ngenyanga, nangona amaza obushushu.

Sekunjalo, phezu kwazo nje ezi zibakala zingathandekiyo, iZizwe Ezimanyeneyo zathabatha elo thuba zavakalisa oku: “Ixesha lokufudumala komhlaba liphelile; ixesha lokubilisa ihlabathi lifikile.” Ushicilelo oluseleyo lucaphukisa, ungalufunda Apha. Yinto entle nje ukuba i-PBS ibe nayo “i-climate psychology therapist” ekhoyo kubo bonke ababukeli aboyikayo.

Eyona nto inomdla kukuba uNobhala-Jikelele we-UN u-António Guterres wayethule xa 700 intshi zekhephu yawa eCalifornia Sierra Nevada, yinto yesibini ixesha snowiest ukuphula a Irekhodi leminyaka engama-40. Okanye xa iirekhodi ezimbini zekhephu zaphulwa e-Wyoming, kubandakanya nokuphulwa kwerekhodi blizzard, bonke bathatha a irhafu enzima kwizilwanyana zasendle. Okanye xa bekukho irekhodi-breaking amaqondo abandayo eNew England. Okanye xa kwawa ikhephu kwakhona in Cairo (eyenze kanye ngaphambili, kwiminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo, kwi kwinkulungwane edlulileyo). Uyayifumana ingongoma. Ndiyathandabuza ukuba uNobhala-Jikelele uyakhathala nokuba apho ndihlala khona e-Alberta bekulihlobo elipholileyo okanye elipholileyo kunesiqhelo.

Kodwa iya isiba mandundu.

Idatha ye-NASA ibonisa ukuba i-Juni 2023 yayipholile ngaphezu kukaJuni 1998, nangona i-66% ngaphezulu kwexesha lezoshishino CO2; ^[24]twitter.com kwaye Apha idatha ibonisa ukuba akukho kufudumala malunga neminyaka eyi-8 ngo-Agasti ka-2022 ngexesha elifanayo no-Agasti ka-1998.^[25]twitter.com kwaye Apha kwaye Apha Kwaye ngokwezitishi zexesha ze-US Climate Reference Network, akukhange kubekho kufudumala kule minyaka ili-18 idlulileyo.^[26]twitter.com

Iikhilikithi.

Inqaku leli nqaku alikho ukulungisa ingxabano malunga nokuba kukho i-anthropogenic "global warming" ebeka iplanethi engozini. Kunoko, kukubhenca isibakala sokuba asiyonzululwazi kuphela hayi ezinzile, kodwa ukungxamela ukubuyisela iziseko zoncedo zamandla esele zikhona iyingozi kwaye niseki iiteknoloji ezifana neeinjini zomoya azikhathali kwaye ziqhutywa luloyiko olungenasiseko.

Kwaye uloyiko ngumcebisi ombi.

Siye saxelelwa phantse minyaka le
kwiminyaka engama-50 nangaphezulu
ukuba sineminyaka elishumi kuphela yokuphila.
—“Uqikelelo lweMozulu yeDoomsday alugugi kakuhle”,
Becket Adams, Uhlolo lweSizwe, Matshi 26, 2023

 

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